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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

38%

BG Pathum United

2.62

29%

Draw

3.45

33%

Muangthong United

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.52

1.21

Muangthong United xG

38%
29%
33%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawMuangthong United

2.62

38%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

30%

BG Pathum United

3.34

27%

Muangthong United

3.72

Win to Nil

11%

BG Pathum United

8.76

9%

Muangthong United

11.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 12.7 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.4 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 1.205
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.607
League avg away goals 1.189
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.966
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.812
Muangthong United attack strength 1.249
Muangthong United defence strength 0.848
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51