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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 14 Mar 2027

11:30

Venue

True BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

53%

BG Pathum United

1.87

26%

Draw

3.78

20%

Chonburi FC

4.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.90

1.07

Chonburi FC xG

53%
26%
20%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawChonburi FC

1.87

53%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.98

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

34%

BG Pathum United

2.91

16%

Chonburi FC

6.26

Win to Nil

18%

BG Pathum United

5.44

3%

Chonburi FC

31.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.8 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.6 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.834
λ Away (xG) 1.068
Total xG 2.902
League avg home goals 1.585
League avg away goals 1.019
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.072
BG Pathum United defence strength 1.006
Chonburi FC attack strength 1.042
Chonburi FC defence strength 1.079
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30