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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 3 Apr 2027

12:00

Venue

True BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

47%

BG Pathum United

2.15

28%

Draw

3.62

26%

Buriram United

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.94

1.23

Buriram United xG

47%
28%
26%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawBuriram United

2.15

47%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

29%

BG Pathum United

3.43

18%

Buriram United

5.50

Win to Nil

14%

BG Pathum United

7.36

5%

Buriram United

21.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.5 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 11.1 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.4 5.4 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.705
λ Away (xG) 1.232
Total xG 2.937
League avg home goals 1.585
League avg away goals 1.019
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.073
BG Pathum United defence strength 1.006
Buriram United attack strength 1.202
Buriram United defence strength 1.002
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30