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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Bangkok United cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Muangthong United.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bangkok United beat Muangthong United 2-0 at Thammasat Stadium, Regular Season - 22, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bangkok United 2.13 xG and Muangthong United 1.11 xG, a combined 3.24. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Muangthong United landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bangkok United attack 1.08 / defence 1.03 against Muangthong United attack 0.94 / defence 1.28, drawn from 49/50 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bangkok United 59% | Draw 23% | Muangthong United 18%, with Bangkok United to win its most likely call at 59%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bangkok United 59%, Muangthong United 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Bangkok United's trading profile (49 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and duly kept one.

Muangthong United's trading profile (49 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Bangkok United arrived the stronger side — 2.14 PPG against 1.20. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Bangkok United (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.08 average — tighter than their form line. Muangthong United (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights