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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Bangkok United run riot with a 5-0 hammering of Khon Kaen United.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bangkok United beat Khon Kaen United 5-0 at Thammasat Stadium, Regular Season - 27, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bangkok United 2.41 xG and Khon Kaen United 0.89 xG, a combined 3.30. The scoreboard read 5-0 for 5 actual goals. Bangkok United beat their projection by 2.6 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Khon Kaen United landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bangkok United attack 1.09 / defence 1.02 against Khon Kaen United attack 0.74 / defence 1.36, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bangkok United 71% | Draw 18% | Khon Kaen United 12%, with Bangkok United to win its most likely call at 71%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bangkok United 60%, Khon Kaen United 53%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Bangkok United's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and duly kept one.

Khon Kaen United's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Bangkok United arrived the stronger side — 2.09 PPG against 0.85. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Bangkok United (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 2.11 average — above their attacking norm. Khon Kaen United (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.93 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 2.70 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights