Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Sunday 3 January 2027
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
Ten matches clear our threshold on Sunday 3 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Chelsea vs Newcastle (Chelsea over 1.5 goals) at 80% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
La Liga supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Chelsea over 1.5 goals
80%
Serie A · Italy
Inter over 1.5 goals
80%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona over 1.5 goals
73%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals
71%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid over 1.5 goals
68%
La Liga · Spain
Levante over 1.5 goals
66%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma over 1.5 goals
63%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo over 1.5 goals
59%
Serie A · Italy
Torino over 1.5 goals
57%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio over 1.5 goals
56%
Showing top 10 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 3 January 2027?
ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Chelsea vs Newcastle (Chelsea over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.