Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Friday 8 May 2026
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 8 May 2026. Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia (Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals) led the list at 87% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals
87%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl. over 1.5 goals
75%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals
71%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals
68%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC over 1.5 goals
65%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam over 1.5 goals
64%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro over 1.5 goals
62%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens over 1.5 goals
61%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 goals
60%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pescara over 1.5 goals
57%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS over 1.5 goals
57%
Showing top 11 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 8 May 2026?
eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia (Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.