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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 4 March 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 4 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys (FC Luzern over 1.5 goals) at 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern over 1.5 goals 83%
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 90% ✓ BTTS Yes 85%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals 68%
Panathinaikos
4 : 1 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone over 1.5 goals 66%
Frosinone
2 : 2 FT
Pescara
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Premier League Β· England Fulham over 1.5 goals 64%
Fulham
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 63%
Manchester City
2 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo over 1.5 goals 58%
Palermo
2 : 1 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 60% Palermo Clean Sheet 55%
#7 Premier League Β· England Manchester United over 1.5 goals 57%
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 7 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 4 March 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys (FC Luzern over 1.5 goals) at 83% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.