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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 17 February 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 17 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon (Cardiff over 1.5 goals) at 67% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Cardiff over 1.5 goals 67%
Cardiff
4 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 League Two Β· England Bromley over 1.5 goals 65%
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 60%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 56%
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 League One Β· England Barnsley over 1.5 goals 56%
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 League One Β· England Lincoln over 1.5 goals 55%
Lincoln
4 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 17 February 2026?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon (Cardiff over 1.5 goals) at 67% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.