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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 29 September 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 September 2025. The strongest reading belongs to ADO Den Haag vs FC OSS (ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals) at 70% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 70%
ADO Den Haag
5 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki over 1.5 goals 66%
HJK Helsinki
2 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 44%
Draw 21%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Zaglebie Lubin over 1.5 goals 65%
Zaglebie Lubin
4 : 0 FT
Arka Gdynia
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden Utsikten over 1.5 goals 63%
Utsikten
2 : 1 FT
IK brage
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 59%
Beşiktaş
3 : 1 FT
Kocaelispor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France RED Star FC 93 over 1.5 goals 59%
Boulogne
1 : 2 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 10%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
BTTS No 61% RED Star FC 93 Clean Sheet 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 57%
Arouca
0 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 56%
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 29 September 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs FC OSS (ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals) at 70% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.