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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 11 February 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 11 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Portsmouth vs Cardiff (Portsmouth over 1.5 goals) at 67% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Portsmouth over 1.5 goals 67%
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Championship Β· England Norwich over 1.5 goals 67%
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 League Two Β· England Barrow over 1.5 goals 63%
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 League Two Β· England Walsall over 1.5 goals 60%
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#5 League One Β· England Charlton over 1.5 goals 57%
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 11 February 2025?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Portsmouth vs Cardiff (Portsmouth over 1.5 goals) at 67% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.