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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 December 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 December 2023. Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 79%
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 74%
Heracles
0 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 74%
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 71%
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 70%
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 69%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Winterthur over 1.5 goals 67%
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern over 1.5 goals 67%
FC Luzern
0 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 66%
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 64%
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC over 1.5 goals 64%
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 59%
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals 57%
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
SV Wehen
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 57%
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 4 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals 57%
Karlsruher SC
3 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Chaves over 1.5 goals 56%
Chaves
1 : 3 FT
Casa Pia
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 17 December 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.