Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Saturday 25 September 2021
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 25 September 2021. Ajax vs Groningen (Ajax over 1.5 goals) led the list at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax over 1.5 goals
91%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester United over 1.5 goals
75%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC over 1.5 goals
71%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals
71%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals
68%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals
67%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals
66%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals
64%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF over 1.5 goals
64%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals
64%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen over 1.5 goals
63%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset over 1.5 goals
63%
Premier League Β· England
Everton over 1.5 goals
63%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid over 1.5 goals
62%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava over 1.5 goals
60%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals
59%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht over 1.5 goals
59%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals
57%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter over 1.5 goals
57%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking over 1.5 goals
56%
Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 25 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Groningen (Ajax over 1.5 goals) at 91% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.