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Stalemate at Yverdon Sport's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Yverdon Sport and Servette FC finished level at 0-0 at Stade Municipal, Regular Season - 20, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Yverdon Sport 1.17 xG and Servette FC 1.38 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Yverdon Sport fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Servette FC landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Yverdon Sport attack 0.77 / defence 1.08 against Servette FC attack 1.03 / defence 1.07, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Yverdon Sport 30% | Draw 29% | Servette FC 40%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Yverdon Sport 56%, Servette FC 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Yverdon Sport's trading profile (57 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 35% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Servette FC's trading profile (57 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Servette FC arrived the stronger side — 1.65 PPG against 1.12. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Yverdon Sport (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.61 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.46 average — tighter than their form line. Servette FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.32 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.32 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights