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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Servette FC and Grasshoppers share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Servette FC and Grasshoppers finished level at 1-1 at Stade de Genève, Regular Season - 21, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Servette FC 1.24 xG and Grasshoppers 0.87 xG, a combined 2.11. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Servette FC attack 1.04 / defence 0.91 against Grasshoppers attack 0.76 / defence 0.81, drawn from 53/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Servette FC 43% | Draw 33% | Grasshoppers 24%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Servette FC 52%, Grasshoppers 41%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Servette FC's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Servette FC arrived the stronger side — 1.64 PPG against 1.03. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights