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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Grasshoppers cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Lausanne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Grasshoppers beat Lausanne 1-3 at Stade de la Tuiliere, Relegation Group - 38, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lausanne 1.79 xG and Grasshoppers 1.32 xG, a combined 3.11. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Grasshoppers outscored their 1.32 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lausanne attack 0.89 / defence 1.09 against Grasshoppers attack 0.85 / defence 1.18, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lausanne 46% | Draw 27% | Grasshoppers 26%, with Lausanne to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual Grasshoppers win had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 38% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lausanne 64%, Grasshoppers 53%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lausanne's trading profile (75 games, 37 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (75 games, 37 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Lausanne 1.27 PPG, Grasshoppers 0.95 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Grasshoppers win broke the near-deadlock. Lausanne (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 1.81 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.43 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 0.89 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 1 against a 1.81 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights