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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Lausanne and Grasshoppers share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Lausanne and Grasshoppers finished level at 2-2 at Stade de la Tuilière, Regular Season - 25, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lausanne 1.29 xG and Grasshoppers 0.83 xG, a combined 2.12. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Grasshoppers outscored their 0.83 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lausanne attack 1.07 / defence 0.86 against Grasshoppers attack 0.80 / defence 0.73, drawn from 57/57 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lausanne 46% | Draw 32% | Grasshoppers 22%, with Lausanne to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. Over 3.5 was 16% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lausanne 56%, Grasshoppers 42%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lausanne's trading profile (62 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (62 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Lausanne 1.31 PPG, Grasshoppers 1.02 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Lausanne (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.03 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.71 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights