Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Grasshoppers's attacking strength (0.84x league average) is weighed against Yverdon Sport's defensive record (0.97x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.28. Flip it around — Yverdon Sport's attack (0.85x) against Grasshoppers's defence (1.16x) — and the away total comes out at 1.19.
These ratings are built from 49/49 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.1%), 1-0 (9.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Grasshoppers Win
38%
2.64
29%
3.50
34%
2.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.28
Grasshoppers xG
Total xG
2.47
1.19
Yverdon Sport xG
2.64
38%
Home win
3.50
29%
Draw
2.98
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
30%
3.28
28%
3.60
Win to Nil
12%
8.67
9%
10.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport expected to score?
The model projects 1.28 expected goals for Grasshoppers and 1.19 for Yverdon Sport, a combined total of 2.47.
How confident is the prediction model for Grasshoppers vs Yverdon Sport?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.