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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Servette FC edge out Grasshoppers 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Servette FC beat Grasshoppers 1-2 at Stadion Letzigrund, Regular Season - 24, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.31 xG and Servette FC 1.37 xG, a combined 2.68. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.80 / defence 1.06 against Servette FC attack 1.08 / defence 0.98, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 34% | Draw 29% | Servette FC 37%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 37%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 41%, Servette FC 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Grasshoppers's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

Servette FC's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Servette FC arrived the stronger side — 1.64 PPG against 1.03. That form edge translated into the three points. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.20 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights