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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shock result as FC Zurich defy the odds to beat Grasshoppers 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Zurich beat Grasshoppers 1-2 at Letzigrund Stadion, Regular Season - 26, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.53 xG and FC Zurich 1.27 xG, a combined 2.80. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.79 / defence 0.98 against FC Zurich attack 0.84 / defence 1.10, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 41% | Draw 30% | FC Zurich 29%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual FC Zurich win had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 51%, FC Zurich 67%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Grasshoppers's trading profile (63 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

FC Zurich's trading profile (63 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Grasshoppers 0.98 PPG, FC Zurich 1.29 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Zurich win broke the near-deadlock.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights