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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as FC ST. Gallen edge out Grasshoppers 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC ST. Gallen beat Grasshoppers 1-2 at Letzigrund Stadion, Regular Season - 19, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.15 xG and FC ST. Gallen 1.63 xG, a combined 2.78. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.88 / defence 0.94 against FC ST. Gallen attack 1.16 / defence 0.78, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 27% | Draw 25% | FC ST. Gallen 48%, with FC ST. Gallen to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 52%, FC ST. Gallen 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Grasshoppers's trading profile (56 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

FC ST. Gallen's trading profile (56 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, FC ST. Gallen arrived the stronger side — 1.54 PPG against 1.04. The form guide was vindicated by the result.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights