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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Grasshoppers cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC ST. Gallen.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Grasshoppers beat FC ST. Gallen 2-0 at Stadion Letzigrund, Relegation Round - 5, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.21 xG and FC ST. Gallen 1.01 xG, a combined 2.22. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC ST. Gallen landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.83 / defence 1.04 against FC ST. Gallen attack 0.83 / defence 0.95, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 40% | Draw 30% | FC ST. Gallen 30%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 40%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 47%, FC ST. Gallen 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Grasshoppers's trading profile (75 games, 37 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

FC ST. Gallen's trading profile (75 games, 37 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, FC ST. Gallen arrived the stronger side — 1.45 PPG against 1.03. Form was overturned, with Grasshoppers winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.16 average — tighter than their form line. FC ST. Gallen (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.08 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights