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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Grasshoppers run riot with a 4-0 hammering of FC Aarau.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Grasshoppers beat FC Aarau 4-0 at Stadio di Cornaredo, Relegation Round, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.47 xG and FC Aarau 1.04 xG, a combined 2.51. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. Grasshoppers beat their projection by 2.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. FC Aarau landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.83 / defence 1.03 against FC Aarau attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 66/0 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 47% | Draw 27% | FC Aarau 26%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights