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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Servette FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over FC Zurich.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Servette FC beat FC Zurich 0-2 at Letzigrund Stadion, Relegation Group - 38, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Zurich 1.65 xG and Servette FC 1.78 xG, a combined 3.43. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. FC Zurich fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Zurich attack 0.91 / defence 1.17 against Servette FC attack 1.07 / defence 1.06, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Zurich 34% | Draw 26% | Servette FC 40%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 40%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 45% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 69% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Zurich 69%, Servette FC 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 67%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Zurich's trading profile (75 games, 37 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

Servette FC's trading profile (75 games, 37 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Zurich 1.21 PPG, Servette FC 1.51 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Servette FC win broke the near-deadlock. FC Zurich (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.54 scoring average — below par going forward. Servette FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.70 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights