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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Servette FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over FC Zurich.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Servette FC beat FC Zurich 1-3 at Stadion Letzigrund, Regular Season - 27, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Zurich 0.99 xG and Servette FC 1.31 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Servette FC outscored their 1.31 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Zurich attack 0.69 / defence 1.00 against Servette FC attack 1.11 / defence 0.85, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Zurich 28% | Draw 29% | Servette FC 43%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 43%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Zurich 50%, Servette FC 53%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Zurich's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Servette FC's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Zurich 1.55 PPG, Servette FC 1.70 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Servette FC win broke the near-deadlock. FC Zurich (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Servette FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.34 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights