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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant FC Zurich run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Grasshoppers.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Zurich beat Grasshoppers 3-0 at Stadion Letzigrund, Relegation Round - 2, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Zurich 1.27 xG and Grasshoppers 1.51 xG, a combined 2.78. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. FC Zurich beat their projection by 1.7 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Grasshoppers landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Zurich attack 0.86 / defence 1.29 against Grasshoppers attack 0.99 / defence 0.96, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Zurich 31% | Draw 26% | Grasshoppers 42%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual FC Zurich win had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Zurich 54%, Grasshoppers 44%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Zurich's trading profile (72 games, 36 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (72 games, 36 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Zurich arrived the stronger side — 1.49 PPG against 1.03. That form edge translated into the three points. FC Zurich (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.31 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.19 average — tighter than their form line. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.44 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights