FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern – Predictions
🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Luzern Win
24%
4.19
24%
4.15
52%
1.92
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.4%
Draw
0 – 1
7.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.33
FC Winterthur xG
Total xG
3.35
2.02
FC Luzern xG
FC WinterthurDrawFC Luzern
4.19
24%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
1.92
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.87
Clean Sheet
13%
7.52
26%
3.79
Win to Nil
3%
31.50
14%
7.29
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.7 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.333
λ Away (xG)
2.018
Total xG
3.351
League avg home goals
1.573
League avg away goals
1.216
FC Winterthur attack strength
0.766
FC Winterthur defence strength
1.378
FC Luzern attack strength
1.205
FC Luzern defence strength
1.107
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50