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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Winterthur Win
45%
2.23
27%
3.64
28%
3.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 0
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.73
FC Winterthur xG
Total xG
3.07
1.34
FC Lugano xG
FC WinterthurDrawFC Lugano
2.23
45%
Home win
3.64
27%
Draw
3.60
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.68
Clean Sheet
26%
3.82
18%
5.66
Win to Nil
12%
8.52
5%
20.39
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 10.8 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.733
λ Away (xG)
1.339
Total xG
3.072
League avg home goals
1.780
League avg away goals
1.406
FC Winterthur attack strength
0.859
FC Winterthur defence strength
1.243
FC Lugano attack strength
0.766
FC Lugano defence strength
1.134
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40