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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Lugano Win
28%
3.61
26%
3.84
46%
2.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
0 – 1
7.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
FC Winterthur xG
Total xG
3.25
1.85
FC Lugano xG
FC WinterthurDrawFC Lugano
3.61
28%
Home win
3.84
26%
Draw
2.16
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.88
Clean Sheet
16%
6.34
24%
4.09
Win to Nil
4%
22.87
11%
8.84
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 10.0 | 9.3 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.408
λ Away (xG)
1.847
Total xG
3.255
League avg home goals
1.372
League avg away goals
1.195
FC Winterthur attack strength
0.977
FC Winterthur defence strength
1.450
FC Lugano attack strength
1.067
FC Lugano defence strength
1.051
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 52