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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant FC ST. Gallen run riot with a 5-0 hammering of Grasshoppers.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC ST. Gallen beat Grasshoppers 5-0 at Kybunpark, Regular Season - 10, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC ST. Gallen 1.52 xG and Grasshoppers 1.01 xG, a combined 2.52. The scoreboard read 5-0 for 5 actual goals. FC ST. Gallen beat their projection by 3.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Grasshoppers landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC ST. Gallen attack 0.94 / defence 0.79 against Grasshoppers attack 0.89 / defence 0.94, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC ST. Gallen 49% | Draw 26% | Grasshoppers 25%, with FC ST. Gallen to win its most likely call at 49%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC ST. Gallen 51%, Grasshoppers 53%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC ST. Gallen's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, FC ST. Gallen arrived the stronger side — 1.49 PPG against 1.06. Form held, and they took the win. FC ST. Gallen (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.78 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.17 average — tighter than their form line. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) shipped 5 against a 1.48 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights