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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant FC Sion run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Lausanne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat Lausanne 3-0 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 33, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.56 xG and Lausanne 0.87 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. FC Sion beat their projection by 1.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Lausanne landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.84 / defence 0.67 against Lausanne attack 0.89 / defence 1.10, drawn from 65/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 52% | Draw 30% | Lausanne 19%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 46%, Lausanne 63%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (70 games, 34 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Lausanne's trading profile (70 games, 34 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.33 PPG, Lausanne 1.31 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Sion win broke the near-deadlock. FC Sion (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.47 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Lausanne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.26 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.65 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights