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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as FC Sion edge out Grasshoppers 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat Grasshoppers 1-0 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 17, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.91 xG and Grasshoppers 0.72 xG, a combined 2.63. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. FC Sion fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.90 / defence 0.84 against Grasshoppers attack 0.63 / defence 1.21, drawn from 49/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 66% | Draw 21% | Grasshoppers 13%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 66%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 48%, Grasshoppers 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (54 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (54 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.26 PPG, Grasshoppers 1.02 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Sion win broke the near-deadlock. FC Sion (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights