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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion and FC Zurich share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion and FC Zurich finished level at 2-2 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 14, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.36 xG and FC Zurich 0.97 xG, a combined 2.32. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. FC Zurich outscored their 0.97 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.81 / defence 0.89 against FC Zurich attack 0.79 / defence 0.91, drawn from 46/46 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 46% | Draw 28% | FC Zurich 27%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. Over 3.5 was 21% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 49%, FC Zurich 65%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

FC Zurich's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.24 PPG, FC Zurich 1.35 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. FC Sion (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.12 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights