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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion and FC ST. Gallen share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion and FC ST. Gallen finished level at 1-1 at Stade de Tourbillon, Relegation Round - 3, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.35 xG and FC ST. Gallen 1.12 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.93 / defence 1.16 against FC ST. Gallen attack 0.82 / defence 0.95, drawn from 33/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 41% | Draw 28% | FC ST. Gallen 30%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 49%, FC ST. Gallen 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

FC ST. Gallen's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.14 PPG, FC ST. Gallen 1.37 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights