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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over BSC Young Boys.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat BSC Young Boys 3-1 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 26, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.84 xG and BSC Young Boys 0.87 xG, a combined 2.71. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. FC Sion beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.80 / defence 0.58 against BSC Young Boys attack 0.97 / defence 1.31, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 58% | Draw 27% | BSC Young Boys 15%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 58%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 29% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 44%, BSC Young Boys 65%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (63 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

BSC Young Boys's trading profile (63 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.29 PPG, BSC Young Boys 1.54 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Sion win broke the near-deadlock. FC Sion (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.53 average — above their attacking norm. BSC Young Boys (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.97 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights