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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over BSC Young Boys.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat BSC Young Boys 2-0 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 16, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 2.09 xG and BSC Young Boys 1.91 xG, a combined 4.00. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. BSC Young Boys landed 1.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.90 / defence 0.97 against BSC Young Boys attack 1.41 / defence 1.31, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 43% | Draw 21% | BSC Young Boys 36%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 76%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 91% and landed. Over 3.5 was 57% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 75% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 49%, BSC Young Boys 64%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

BSC Young Boys's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, BSC Young Boys arrived the stronger side — 1.64 PPG against 1.23. Form was overturned, with FC Sion winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. FC Sion (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.15 average — tighter than their form line. BSC Young Boys (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.31 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights