Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Championship Round - 1

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

15:30

Venue

swissporarena

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Luzern Win

59%

FC Luzern

1.71

23%

Draw

4.42

19%

FC Lugano

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

FC Luzern xG

Total xG

2.97

1.02

FC Lugano xG

59%
23%
19%
FC LuzernDrawFC Lugano

1.71

59%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

36%

FC Luzern

2.77

14%

FC Lugano

7.02

Win to Nil

21%

FC Luzern

4.73

3%

FC Lugano

37.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 10.2 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.3 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.1 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.949
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.968
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.181
FC Luzern attack strength 1.294
FC Luzern defence strength 0.945
FC Lugano attack strength 0.913
FC Lugano defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66