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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 17 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadio di Cornaredo

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Lugano Win

56%

FC Lugano

1.78

22%

Draw

4.51

22%

Lausanne

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

FC Lugano xG

Total xG

3.30

1.23

Lausanne xG

56%
22%
22%
FC LuganoDrawLausanne

1.78

56%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

29%

FC Lugano

3.41

13%

Lausanne

7.92

Win to Nil

16%

FC Lugano

6.08

3%

Lausanne

36.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 7.7 9.4 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.5 6.7 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.070
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 3.298
League avg home goals 1.631
League avg away goals 1.474
FC Lugano attack strength 1.083
FC Lugano defence strength 0.964
Lausanne attack strength 0.864
Lausanne defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38