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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Stadio di Cornaredo

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Lugano Win

57%

FC Lugano

1.74

22%

Draw

4.48

20%

FC Winterthur

4.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

FC Lugano xG

Total xG

3.25

1.17

FC Winterthur xG

57%
22%
20%
FC LuganoDrawFC Winterthur

1.74

57%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

4.94

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

31%

FC Lugano

3.23

13%

FC Winterthur

7.96

Win to Nil

18%

FC Lugano

5.63

3%

FC Winterthur

39.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.1 9.5 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.8 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 6.8 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.074
λ Away (xG) 1.173
Total xG 3.247
League avg home goals 1.666
League avg away goals 1.227
FC Lugano attack strength 1.010
FC Lugano defence strength 1.145
FC Winterthur attack strength 0.835
FC Winterthur defence strength 1.233
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60