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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Championship Group - 38

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Stadio di Cornaredo

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Lugano Win

52%

FC Lugano

1.94

26%

Draw

3.82

22%

FC Basel 1893

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

FC Lugano xG

Total xG

3.16

1.23

FC Basel 1893 xG

52%
26%
22%
FC LuganoDrawFC Basel 1893

1.94

52%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

29%

FC Lugano

3.42

15%

FC Basel 1893

6.88

Win to Nil

15%

FC Lugano

6.64

3%

FC Basel 1893

30.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.2 10.1 6.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.2 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.928
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 3.159
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.427
FC Lugano attack strength 1.032
FC Lugano defence strength 0.871
FC Basel 1893 attack strength 0.990
FC Basel 1893 defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66