🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Lugano Win
51%
1.96
25%
4.03
24%
4.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.0%
Draw
2 – 0
6.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.07
FC Lugano xG
Total xG
3.48
1.40
BSC Young Boys xG
FC LuganoDrawBSC Young Boys
1.96
51%
Home win
4.03
25%
Draw
4.15
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.10
Clean Sheet
25%
4.07
13%
7.93
Win to Nil
13%
7.97
3%
32.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 9.3 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.071
λ Away (xG)
1.404
Total xG
3.475
League avg home goals
1.709
League avg away goals
1.428
FC Lugano attack strength
1.035
FC Lugano defence strength
0.861
BSC Young Boys attack strength
1.142
BSC Young Boys defence strength
1.171
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66