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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Basel 1893 cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Servette FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Basel 1893 beat Servette FC 3-1 at St. Jakob-Park, Regular Season - 30, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Basel 1893 1.46 xG and Servette FC 1.20 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. FC Basel 1893 beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Basel 1893 attack 0.80 / defence 0.71 against Servette FC attack 1.13 / defence 1.07, drawn from 62/62 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Basel 1893 40% | Draw 32% | Servette FC 28%, with FC Basel 1893 to win its most likely call at 40%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 28% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Basel 1893 61%, Servette FC 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Basel 1893's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Servette FC's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 72% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Basel 1893 1.78 PPG, Servette FC 1.43 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Basel 1893 win broke the near-deadlock. FC Basel 1893 (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.88 average — above their attacking norm. Servette FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.70 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights