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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as FC Basel 1893 edge out Grasshoppers 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Basel 1893 beat Grasshoppers 2-1 at St. Jakob-Park, Regular Season - 30, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Basel 1893 1.57 xG and Grasshoppers 0.97 xG, a combined 2.54. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Basel 1893 attack 1.08 / defence 0.88 against Grasshoppers attack 0.84 / defence 0.96, drawn from 62/62 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Basel 1893 51% | Draw 26% | Grasshoppers 23%, with FC Basel 1893 to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Basel 1893 51%, Grasshoppers 43%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Basel 1893's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

Grasshoppers's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Basel 1893 arrived the stronger side — 1.46 PPG against 1.01. The form guide was vindicated by the result.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights