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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Basel 1893 cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Zurich.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Basel 1893 beat FC Zurich 2-0 at St. Jakob-Park, Regular Season - 11, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Basel 1893 1.76 xG and FC Zurich 1.03 xG, a combined 2.79. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC Zurich landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Basel 1893 attack 1.07 / defence 0.88 against FC Zurich attack 0.85 / defence 0.87, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Basel 1893 54% | Draw 23% | FC Zurich 22%, with FC Basel 1893 to win its most likely call at 54%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Basel 1893 69%, FC Zurich 65%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Basel 1893's trading profile (48 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

FC Zurich's trading profile (48 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Basel 1893 arrived the stronger side — 1.90 PPG against 1.38. The form guide was vindicated by the result. FC Basel 1893 (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.83 average — tighter than their form line. FC Zurich (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.39 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights