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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Basel 1893 cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Sion.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Basel 1893 beat FC Sion 2-0 at St. Jakob-Park, Regular Season - 26, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Basel 1893 2.36 xG and FC Sion 0.95 xG, a combined 3.32. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC Sion landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Basel 1893 attack 1.09 / defence 0.87 against FC Sion attack 0.91 / defence 1.31, drawn from 58/25 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Basel 1893 68% | Draw 19% | FC Sion 13%, with FC Basel 1893 to win its most likely call at 68%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Basel 1893 60%, FC Sion 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Basel 1893's trading profile (25 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

FC Sion's trading profile (25 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Basel 1893 arrived the stronger side — 1.68 PPG against 1.20. That form edge translated into the three points. FC Basel 1893 (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.92 average — tighter than their form line. FC Sion (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.92 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights