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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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BSC Young Boys cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Servette FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

BSC Young Boys beat Servette FC 3-1 at Stadion Wankdorf, Regular Season - 1, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting BSC Young Boys 1.58 xG and Servette FC 1.16 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. BSC Young Boys beat their projection by 1.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of BSC Young Boys attack 1.09 / defence 0.88 against Servette FC attack 1.01 / defence 0.88, drawn from 33/33 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it BSC Young Boys 47% | Draw 25% | Servette FC 28%, with BSC Young Boys to win its most likely call at 47%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. Over 3.5 was 30% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (BSC Young Boys 58%, Servette FC 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

BSC Young Boys's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

Servette FC's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — BSC Young Boys 1.61 PPG, Servette FC 1.66 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the BSC Young Boys win broke the near-deadlock. Servette FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.53 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights