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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Trelleborg edge out Umeå FC 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Trelleborg beat Umeå FC 0-1 at Umea Energi Arena, Regular Season - 2, in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Umeå FC 1.12 xG and Trelleborg 1.41 xG, a combined 2.52. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Umeå FC fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Umeå FC attack 0.87 / defence 1.15 against Trelleborg attack 1.01 / defence 1.02, drawn from 1/31 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Umeå FC 30% | Draw 27% | Trelleborg 44%, with Trelleborg to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights