Most Likely Outcome
Sandviken Win
51%
1.97
22%
4.65
28%
3.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.1%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
Sandviken xG
Total xG
3.47
1.45
Helsingborg xG
SandvikenDrawHelsingborg
1.97
51%
Home win
4.65
22%
Draw
3.61
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.50
34%
BTTS No
2.98
Clean Sheet
23%
4.27
13%
7.55
Win to Nil
12%
8.41
4%
27.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 9.2 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.021
λ Away (xG)
1.452
Total xG
3.473
League avg home goals
1.409
League avg away goals
1.449
Sandviken attack strength
1.161
Sandviken defence strength
0.986
Helsingborg attack strength
1.016
Helsingborg defence strength
1.236
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
43 / 43