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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Oddevold edge out Umeå FC 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Oddevold beat Umeå FC 1-0 at Rimnersvallen, Regular Season - 1, in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Oddevold 1.55 xG and Umeå FC 1.05 xG, a combined 2.60. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Umeå FC landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Oddevold attack 0.95 / defence 1.08 against Umeå FC attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Oddevold 48% | Draw 27% | Umeå FC 25%, with Oddevold to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights