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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Norrby IF edge out Utsikten 3-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Norrby IF beat Utsikten 3-2 at Borås Arena, Final, in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Norrby IF 1.60 xG and Utsikten 1.13 xG, a combined 2.73. The scoreboard read 3-2 for 5 actual goals. Norrby IF beat their projection by 1.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Utsikten outscored their 1.13 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Norrby IF attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Utsikten attack 0.78 / defence 1.20, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Norrby IF 47% | Draw 27% | Utsikten 26%, with Norrby IF to win its most likely call at 47%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 29% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights